The World is Ending. So Let’s Have a Party!

Yes, they're serious.

Did you know that the world is ending?

A man named Harold Camping thinks so. Harold runs Family Radio. A series of radio stations that broadcast Cristian broadcasting. Well not just radio, “shortwave radio, by A.M. and F.M. radio, the Internet, satellite broadcasting, T.V., and printed materials”

So he worked out that the world is going to end on May 21st. More specifically, the Jesus is coming back on May 21st and then the world will end in October.  That date just happens to coincide with the MISkeptics May Get Together!

(OK, so it just happens to coincide because I moved the date of the Get Together to the 21st…)

So… Let’s Party!

Save the date

May 21st at 4:00 PM we will be having our monthly Get Together, and we will be celebrating the end of the world! There will be games a presentation, prizes and we will be raffling off some pretty cool stuff. George Hrab was super kind to us and has donated some signed copies of his

Trebuchet album! Also be sure to check out Geo’s awesome Geologic Podcast. We will also have some Tshirts mugs, books and some other cool stuff for you! Raffle tickets will be $5 so be sure to bring money!

Or very own Ethan has put together over two hours of end-of-the-world related music for us. Yes that one will be in there, and I feel fine.

So save the date! Be sure to RSVP by either the Facebook Event page or by the Meetup Event.  Please be sure to RSVP as soon as possible. We expect a big crowd and may have to move to a larger venue. Make sure we know you’re coming!

I tried to invite Jesus, but I couldn’t confirm he got my message…

A new product that’s the bee’s knees!

I wasn’t sure where to start in finding the topic for my first post here. (By the way, hello!) My problem was solved, however, while listening to the local Public Radio station in my car the other night. The program that was on was CBC’s As It Happens. Aside from their having a pretty nifty and hip theme song, I’ve liked this program because of the conversational approach to the news they cover. In any case, what caught my ear was a five minute segment about the Bee Station.

Some quick background – I own a business, and sell websites to make a living. As a result, I don’t begrudge anyone coming up with products to sell.  Hurray for capitalism. However, what bugs me about what I heard was the marketing angle. It turns out that I do have a problem when people try to cash in on fear. I also have a problem with people selling something that won’t do what they claim it will do.

The Bee Station is supposedly a way you can help your friendly neighborhood bees by providing a nest and feeding stop for them on their busy routes. Explaining his product, Jamie Hutchinson (designer of the Bee Station) tells the show’s hosts that because bees have been dying, the remaining ones are working harder. His website repeats the point…

Our bees are dying at an alarming rate and the remaining bees are working twice as hard to keep our planet alive.

That was the first thing that made me tip my head and think “huh?” The questions that came to mind were along the lines of, “how do the surviving bees know they’re supposed to be working twice as hard?” and “is there some kind of bee work quota that they are trying to maintain?” In my admittedly limited understanding of bees, it seemed to me that a bee will work as hard as it needs to in order to survive and support the hive, with no regard to the situation of other bees or any danger to humans. When I contacted him for his opinion, Eric Mussen, Extension Apiculturist at UC Davis agreed.

So bees are not like a marathon runner (an analogy used in the radio interview) in need of an energy drink because they’re running twice as hard. The emotional buildup continued in Jamie’s interview, as it does on their website…

Our bees are dying at an alarming rate and without them we’re in real trouble. Our food, clothes and very survival depends heavily on the pollination carried out by this little, stripy workforce.

For those of you playing the skeptic game at home, you should have several logical fallacy points racked up by now. In general, the arguments that I heard made on the radio program were an appeal to emotion. The website also paints a similar picture… it’s not just the bees that need to be saved, you need to save your wife and children! Quick buy this product now!!! If you don’t, we’ll be naked, hungry and then dead! Along with cashing in on the concern for dying bees, the appeal to fear is made by pointing out that without bees our whole world will come crashing down. The final pitch is then made with an appeal to flattery.

The Bee Station is your chance to help our bees… The Bee Station is the perfect gift for anyone with an interest in the environment or design.

So, if you buy buy this product you can feel good about yourself. You’ll have saved the bees, and by extension, the world. (Or given the same as a gift.) In reality, there are better ways to make a difference. An expert I contacted at the USDA-ARS Bee Research Laboratory agreed that flower planting (in particular, planting a diverse range of types of flowers) would make more sense, and that feeding stations were likely not the answer.

Eric seemed to feel similarly, and told me that honey bees don’t cluster outside the hive (which would seem then to mean they don’t need a Steve Jobs looking rest stop). If the main use of this product is acting as a feeder, there are definitely less expensive ways to provide sugar syrup to honey bees.

And seriously, looking at the above picture, can’t you just imagine next year’s hottest product from Apple… the iBee? It would connect wirelessly to the Internet and regularly update a Twitter page with the number of bees, local weather, etc. (Mr. Jobs, if you make this I expect some kind of compensation.)

Anyway, back to my main point… the interview was difficult to listen to because it was deceptive, and was intended to get people thinking they were making a difference by spending their money. In my mind this is akin to homeopathy. The true danger is in preventing someone from doing anything actually beneficial. You want to help save the bees? Plant some bee friendly flowers. Get started by buzzing over to the Pollinator Partnership’s Pollinator Friendly Planting Guides website. (And be thankful that I didn’t find a way to work a popular Beatles song title into this article! The temptation was strong…)

More information…

Happy Birthday Hitchens!

Christopher Hitchens

Happy Birthday you magnificent bastard.

“Beware the irrational, however seductive. Shun the ‘transcendent’ and all who invite you to subordinate or annihilate yourself. Distrust compassion; prefer dignity for yourself and others. Don’t be afraid to be thought arrogant or selfish. Picture all experts as if they were mammals. Never be a spectator of unfairness or stupidity. Seek out argument and disputation for their own sake; the grave will supply plenty of time for silence. Suspect your own motives, and all excuses. Do not live for others any more than you would expect others to live for you.” -Hitch

Today is the birthday of Christopher Hitchens. The famous English-American author and journalist whose books, essays, and journalistic career span more than four decades. He has been a columnist and literary critic at The Atlantic, Vanity Fair, Slate, World Affairs, The Nation, Free Inquiry, and became a media fellow at the Hoover Institution in September 2008.

Our Thank Hitch project aims to collect videos from fans thanking him for all the good work he has done over the years. As you know he has Esophageal Cancer. It is currently in Stage 4 and has metathesized to his lymph nodes.  He talks about it in his Vanity Fair column and in this interview with c-span.

I still need your help!

We’re still accepting submissions for the Thank Hitch Project. Be sure to go here to learn how to submit your video.

More importantly, we’ve lost our video editor! We need a volunteer with awesome powers of video to put the vids together into one cohesive video of awe.  Send us a message letting us know you can help.

Who can’t love someone that drops amazing quotes like:

“The four most over-rated things in life are champagne, lobster, anal sex and picnics.”

Be sure to send in your videos! Hurry!

Celebrating World Homeopathy Week

From Luke Surl Comics

What Happens When We Run Out of Water?

Over the last century, H20 has become so convenient we take it for granted. That’s about to change

By Charles Fishman via Salon.com
This article was adapted from Charles Fishman’s “The Big Thirst,” available April 12.
What happens when we run out of water?

Water is both mythic and real. It manages to be at once part of the mystery of life and part of the routine of life. We can use water to wash our dishes and our dogs and our cars without giving it a second thought, but few of us can resist simply standing and watching breakers crash on the beach. Water has all kinds of associations and connections, implications and suggestiveness. It also has an indispensable practicality.

Water is the most familiar substance in our lives. It is also unquestionably the most important substance in our lives. Water vapor is the insulation in our atmosphere that makes Earth a comfortable place for us to live. Water drives our weather and shapes our geography. Water is the lubricant that allows the continents themselves to move. Water is the secret ingredient of our fuel-hungry society. That new flat-screen TV, it turns out, needs not just a wall outlet and a cable connection but also its own water supply to get going. Who would have guessed?

Water is also the secret ingredient in the computer chips that make possible everything from MRI machines to Twitter accounts. Indeed, from blue jeans to iPhones, from Kleenex to basmati rice to the steel in your Toyota Prius, every product of modern life is awash in water. And water is, quite literally, everywhere. When you take a carton of milk from the refrigerator and set it on the table, within a minute or two the outside is covered in a film of condensation— water that has migrated almost instantly from the air of the kitchen to the cold surface of the milk carton.

Everything human beings do is, quite literally, a function of water, because every cell in our bodies is plumped full of it, and every cell is bathed in watery fluid. Blood is 83 percent water. Every heartbeat is mediated by chemicals in water; when we gaze at a starry night sky, the cells in our eyes execute all their seeing functions in water; thinking about water requires neurons filled with water. Continue reading What Happens When We Run Out of Water? →

Donald Trump and the “Birther” Conspiracy

Donald Trump has been publicly making claims that not only question whether President Obama was born in Hawaii, but insist that he was born in Kenya.  These claims are part of an overall belief that’s been termed “birtherism” – which is a conspiracy theory that asserts the media is suppressing the knowledge that Obama’s presidency is unconstitutional.

Donald Trump wrote in a New York Times editorial defending his position.  He claims that there is an audio tape of Obama’s grandmother stating that he was born in Kenya.  He also states that Obama has not produced an original birth certificate to prove that he is indeed a US citizen.  He then concludes that the entire media is “in on it” else why wouldn’t a journalist uncover this story and receive fame and awards?

What distinguishes a conspiracy theory from fact are many elements.  Let’s look three of them.

Continue reading Donald Trump and the “Birther” Conspiracy →

Is gravity not actually a force? Forcing theory to meet experiments

From Ars Technica:

By Matt Ford

How are controversial ideas handled by modern science? A common charge leveled against science (generally by those who are unhappy with its conclusions) is that the only way to get funding or continue your research is by going along with the current theories and not rocking the boat. For those who spend their careers in science, this is laughable—it is those who successfully rock the boat who are the most successful. In this article, we are going to look at a manuscript that purports to overturn hundreds of years of accepted ideas about gravity, and use it as an illustration of how controversial ideas are dealt with in modern physics.

It was Isaac Newton who first proposed a universal law of gravitation, where every massive body in the universe was attracted to every other one. This simple law proved extremely powerful, able to explain the orbits of planets and the reason the apocryphal apple fell on his head. However, Newton was never able to explain why gravity worked or what exactly it was. Two hundred plus years later, Albert Einstein was able to offer a more complete description of gravity—one where Newton’s laws are a limited case. According to Einstein, gravity was due to the warpage of spacetime by mass and energy; all objects followed straight paths, just on curved spaces.

With the advent of quantum theory over the past 100 years, scientists have been able to develop an elegant mathematical framework capable of uniting three of the four fundamental forces that are thought to exist in the universe. The fourth, gravity, still remains the fly in the ointment, and has resisted unification to this point. Early last year, Dutch theoretical physicist Erik Verlinde published a manuscript to the arXiv that purports to explain why science cannot reconcile all four fundamental forces. According to him, it is simple: “gravity doesn’t exist.”

Continue reading Is gravity not actually a force? Forcing theory to meet experiments →

The MISkeptics Storefront is now live!

After some delays and terrible tweaking, the Michigan Skeptics store is now open for business! Feel free to head on over and check it out! You can find it here or the full store can be found here.

Or you can just browse through what you see below…


Create personalized gifts at Zazzle.

Veterinary Acupuncture: Name That Logical Fallacy

I have wanted to post a commentary ever since I’ve been seeing ads in the Ann Arbor Observer advertising acupuncture for pets by non-veterinarians. Recently, AnnArbor.com has hosted a couple pieces on acupuncture for pets including one from Lorrie Shaw and Dr. Taryn Clark and Dr. Jessica Franklin, two local veterinarians. The piece by Dr. Clark and Dr. Franklin will do nicely for deconstruction and a game of name that logical fallacy.

Acupuncture has been practiced for a long time — estimates range from 3,500-5,000 years, with written records dating to the second century B.C., though its origins are unclear.

The obvious reason for such a statement is to make the implication that since it’s been around for so long, it must therefore also be effective (logical fallacy: appeal to antiquity). However, longevity doesn’t argue for efficacy, otherwise everyone would likely agree that astrology can determine a person’s destiny based the position of celestial bodies; astrology has been practiced for many more years than acupuncture.

Despite ancient sources showing acupuncture being applied to animals, it has only started to catch on in modern veterinary medicine in the last few decades.

Obviously, proponents of complementary and alternative medicine (CAM) want their ideas to be viewed as being widely used and accepted. Even though the popularity of an idea does not reliably indicate how whether or not the idea is true (logical fallacy: Argumentum ad populum), it is natural to think there is at least some truth to it if a lot of people believe in it. Despite the historical claim that veterinary acupuncture has been around for a long time, more than likely, it’s not what you think.

Whether the explanation for its effect comes from contemporary medicine (it stimulates nerves and releases endorphins) or traditional Chinese (it restores the flow of Qi through the area), the purpose of acupuncture is to relieve pain and stimulate the healing process.

Here’s an instance of ‘you can’t have it both ways’ (logical fallacy: inconsistency fallacy). Acupuncture is based on pre-scientific concepts of a vitalistic entity (Qi) and of meridians and acupuncture points unknown to anatomists. More scientific explanations have been offered as to how it might work, including a counterirritant effect or the gate control theory of pain. There is evidence that acupuncture can stimulate endogenous endorphin production, but there is evidence that placebo pills can do that as well. Acupuncture has been studied for decades but the results are inconsistent. If a treatment is truly effective, studies tend to produce more convincing results as time passes and the weight of evidence accumulates. In fact, taken as a whole, the published (and scientifically rigorous) evidence leads to the conclusion that acupuncture is no more effective than placebo.

Benefits include: Drug-free; Surgery-free; Immediate results

Applications for acupuncture include: Treatment of arthritis, degenerative joint disease, or hip dysplasia; General pain management; Post-surgery pain; Cancer chemotherapy/radiation support; Immune support; Treatment of nerve dysfunction

There is good evidence that the therapeutic ritual of acupuncture has some symptomatic benefit for such indications, at least in humans. This is almost certainly a non-specific treatment effect (aka “placebo”). It does not seem to matter where needles are inserted or if they are inserted at all, and acupuncture therapy does not appear to measurably affect the course of any actual disease. (The Skeptic’s Dictionary has a clear and concise review). The term ‘support’ used above does not even having any useful meaning. Immune support… it sounds like the immune system is sagging against gravity due to age and needs a lift.

Acupuncture can be administered at any time and is frequently tried after other types of treatments, such as non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), have failed to produce the desired results or have undesirable side effects. In cases of degenerative nerve disease, it actually works better than drugs because it stimulates nerve function.

Acupuncture has been studies extensively in humans and it seems that the ritual of acupuncture is what provides the perception of pain reduction. In animals, there is no reliable, high-quality research evidence for the benefits of acupuncture. The studies that have been done have found both positive and negative results, but the poor quality and lack of replication make the existing evidence insufficient to recommend acupuncture therapy. And what does ‘stimulate nerve function’ mean? I can poke someone in the arm with a pencil and that person should be happy since I just stimulated their nerve function.

Electroacupuncture, a variation on traditional acupuncture, also involves needles being inserted at specific locations. The difference is that an electric pulse is applied, through two needles at a time, in sessions typically lasting 20 minutes.

Electroacupuncture has been referred to as a bait-and-switch, because it is arguably not acupuncture at all. Obviously, the ancient Chinese lacked electricity, so the theories and guidelines developed for acupuncture in humans are not really relevant to the effects of electricity on the body.

An informative study was published in the Journal of the American Veterinary Medical Association (JAVMA) on June 1, 2010, about intervertebral disk disease (IVDD) — a common though difficult and painful disease we see in dogs — and the use of electroacupuncture to treat it. The study showed a significantly higher success rate for dogs who underwent electroacupuncture than for dogs that received decompressive surgery.

Electroacupuncture alone saw success in 15 of 19

Decompressive surgery saw success in 4 of 10

Surgery followed by acupuncture saw success in 8 of 11

Here’s a closer look at this study. To sum it up, there were major methodological problems (no blinding, no subjective way to characterize and compare the quality of treatments, small study size). Although it is possible that electrical stimulation can have some effect on various parts of a dog, much better designed studies would be necessary to legitimately claim the same conclusions as this paper did.

A case study from Ann Arbor Animal Hospital

We have seen a lot of wonderful old pets who are generally healthy but in pain, like Maggie, a 15-year-old cat.
Maggie, my beloved 15 year old feline has had a relatively healthy life. But when she started having problems, even though I suspected they were part of the aging process, I became alarmed. Last winter, I noticed Maggie was limping, which was followed by her inability to groom herself in the meticulous way she always had. Then as time went on, I noticed she had stopped playing and going up and down the stairs was becoming difficult for her. Then, it seemed that I could not even pick her up without her flinching from pain and crying when I put pressure on her lower spine.

Presenting these problems to Maggie’s veterinarian, Dr. Jess Franklin, Maggie was eventually given a diagnosis of arthritis. I knew Dr. Franklin was also an animal acupuncturist, so I asked her if she thought acupuncture would help and could she do it for her. She said the Ann Arbor Animal Hospital has had good outcomes with other animals and she would certainly try to help Maggie.

After weeks of acupuncture sessions combined with Dasuquin (a Glucosamine for cats), my Maggie is back to her near meticulous grooming and she no longer cries when I pick her up. She is moving a bit slower and she still has a slight limp, but Maggie is back to being the queen of the household and she won’t let anyone forget it!

Maggie is a great example of how well acupuncture and natural products can be integrated into the care of our animals. Maggie also takes Amlodipine for high blood pressure; Standard Process Renal Support, a whole food supplement; and uses Hill’s Prescription K/D for ongoing kidney disease.

Case studies are among the lowest forms of evidence and rank just above anecdotal evidence. I would venture to say that the above example is anecdotal evidence. Basically, it does not prove acupuncture was the treatment that worked for Maggie and it should be pointed out that acupuncture was not the sole treatment used. In fact, Dasuquin is marketed as a treatment for joint pain like arthritis in both dogs and cats.

Around 85% of our acupuncture patients are older dogs with musculoskeletal ailments. Some signs that your dog is experiencing pain that acupuncture may be able to assuage:

Abnormal sitting or lying posture; Restlessness; Whining, groaning or other vocalizing; Limping, unable to get up or lie down; Difficulty getting into car or down stairs; Lack of grooming; Won’t wag tail; Licking or biting area; Lack of appetite; Trembling

Obviously, if something appears off with your pet, see the vet, but the evidence that acupuncture works in humans, let alone, animals, is questionable at best. Personally, I’ve been looking for a vet that’s a little closer since I moved a few months ago to Ann Arbor. Ann Arbor Animal Hospital has been crossed off  my list permanently.

The April MISkeptics Get Together is going to have flying Asian Food

MISkeptics Get Together

We will be selling these very soon from the upcoming store!

The April Get Together is this week, Saturday the 9th at 4:00 PM.

This one will definitely be fun.

This month our Special Guest will be Gordon Brown. His discussion topic will be: “A Post-Modernist Apologia” – He will describe the origins of Post-modernism, its central tenets, and its proper place in our society.  He will also discuss misconceptions and misuses of this oft maligned philosophical perspective.

Although we do ask you keep the throwing of food to a minimum please. :)

We have our Get Togethers on the second Saturday of the month at 4:00 PM. Join us for Drinks and Dinner!

Be sure to RSVP. Seating fills fast! You can RSVP on our Facebook page or on out Meetup page.